Forget January 6th. Republicans have another plan to destroy democracy

The direction of American politics may change, but the critical dynamics remain the same. Republicans are abusing the rules of governance and destabilizing democracy and breaking every rule that makes bipartisan government possible.

The same is true of Ketanji Brown Jackson’s Supreme Court nomination. On April 4, Republicans on the Senate Judiciary Committee refused to transfer Jackson’s nomination to the full Senate, leaving the committee inactive. This forced Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer to file a discharge motion অত্যন্ত highly unusual for a Supreme Court nomination-only to bring nominations to the Senate floor. Three Republican senators (Mitt Romney, Susan Collins and Lisa Murkowski) voted in favor of the discharge motion to advance the nomination.

That Jackson is sure to win should not be disguised for future nominations. Had Democrats not controlled the Senate, Brown’s fate would have been in the hands of Senate minority leader Mitch McConnell, who must have rejected the nomination because of the stalemate on the Judiciary Committee. As Republican Senator Lindsay Graham acknowledges, Jackson would never have been heard if the GOP had controlled the Senate.

Such hyper-abstractionism approves of the hypocritical precedent set by Republicans in 2016 when they refused to consider the nomination of Merrick Garland President Barack Obama in the Supreme Court and then suppressed Amy Connie Barrett’s nomination through the Senate just before Election Day 2020.

The Republican Supreme Court’s new standard guarantees that unless Democrats control the Senate, no Democratic president will see their court nominee considered by the chamber. This collapse of institutional rules has made the court even more biased.

Democrats would be suicidal fools for not pursuing lawsuits because of court control over democracy.

But Republicans also know that Republicans in the Senate will have problems as Democrats craven because of structural advantages. The Senate’s inclination toward older, white, and more rural constituencies in small-population states means that the middle Senate seat is now at least five points more Republican than the national middle. The Senate is currently tied at 50-50, although Democratic senators represent another 43 million Americans. Recent analysis by political scientist David Shore Suggests That Republicans could lose the popular presidential vote in 2024 and still end up with a filibuster-proof majority of 60 senators.

Democrats have won seven of the last eight presidential elections by popular vote. But the trend of electoral college GOPs has doubled the popular vote rate in the White House over the past 25 years. Combined with the blockade of Obama’s third nominee, the Supreme Court has appointed a conservative supreme majority that is out of touch with the political preferences of the majority of Americans.

A future where biased control of the Senate determines the appointment of Supreme Court justices is widely supported by the Republican Party. By 2040, two-thirds of Americans will represent only 30 percent of the Senate. This is an unbearable imbalance of power for any republic, far less than the world’s leading democracy.

The alliance changes. It is possible that the current rural-urban divide could change if Democrats become more conservative on social issues without tearing apart their young, left-leaning base. But even if party loyalty shifts, it means that in a state like Wyoming, the moderate preferences of a much smaller number of older white conservatives will outweigh those of a much larger, younger, more diverse, and more affluent ally than states like California. A degree that the founders could not even imagine. By 2020, biden-voting blue counties represent more than 70 percent of the country’s GDP, including 52 percent of the national popular vote. As James Folos points out, “When the U.S. Senate was formed, there was a ‘mere’ 10-to-1 population difference between the largest and least populous states (Virginia and Delaware). It is now roughly 70-to-1 (California and Wyoming).” ). “

How long can an irresistible large segment of the population, with far more significant economic productivity, be held hostage by a more extremist and declining population interested in licensing separate states to reduce reproduction and suffrage in the unrepresented Senate and Supreme Court?

This is a grim future: Republicans will hold anti-majority power over disgruntled and powerless majorities, such structures are inevitably involved in all the horrific crackdowns and campaigns – or liberals are forced to implement radical reforms whenever a thermophilic electoral swing gives them a window. Not so.

It is hard to imagine that the blue states, which are more populous and more representative of GDP, simply tolerate the iron rule of a Senate and Supreme Court that kicks against modernity and hinders governance in everything from climate to healthcare.

The The best event The scenario would be that the Blue State, or the Blue Cities of the Red State, simply repeals federal laws the way some cannabis or immigration laws are currently being applied (or not), returning the country to an ineffective system under the Confederation article.

It depends on the GOP to become a serious party trying to win the national majority. Conservatives risk instability by following a minority authoritarian regime over a volatile and diverse population of younger, richer Americans who hate them. Such efforts rarely end well.

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